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What I Believe Least

Belief doesn’t have to be black or white.

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What We’re Reading

Efficiency…

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2020: What a Time To Be Alive

A common theme in history is that progress happens too slowly to notice while setbacks happen too quickly to overlook.

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Useful Hacks

“You can’t produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant.

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What We’re Reading

Back of the envelope…

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The Psychology of Prediction

This report describes 12 common flaws, errors, and misadventures that occur in people’s heads when predictions are made.

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What We’re Reading

Career goals…

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What We’re Reading

In your head…

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What We’re Reading

AI…

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What We’re Reading

A 15-year-old describes Instagram…

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No More Gurus

Avianca flight 052, from Medellin to New York, was circling JFK for landing in bad weather.

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What We’re Reading

Mobility…

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What We’re Reading

Optimally gullible…

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Common Plots of Economic History

Complicated stuff can stem from a handful of common roots.

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Founders, VCs and Values – Thoughts on a Critical Moment

What happens when a founder’s interests are not aligned with those of the company and its shareholders…

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Risk-Based Care

There are few things as hard to move as the US healthcare system.

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What We’re Reading

Humility…

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What We’re Reading

NYC packages…

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The Spectrum of Wealth

Chris Rock joked that Bill Gates would jump out the window if he woke up with Oprah’s money.

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Adding Work As A Category

People work, and they usually work a lot.

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What We’re Reading

Negative interest rates…

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Useful Biases

There was a time when psychology was all about helping people get from bad to normal.

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Second Layer Solutions and the Next Wave of Innovation

Necessity is the mother of invention.

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